Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 189.741889 225.550519 269.368393 328.000265 406.112289 5.092335e+02 6.604715e+02
2025-02-09 141.247143 181.738553 237.516210 323.517976 460.111330 6.840535e+02 1.120490e+03
2025-02-16 118.221533 160.047875 222.371308 328.609473 521.701957 9.023485e+02 1.884591e+03
2025-02-23 102.760740 144.361999 210.082572 331.243967 577.599829 1.151923e+03 3.145709e+03
2025-03-02 92.224983 133.583952 202.217527 337.729543 643.363613 1.486892e+03 5.653563e+03
2025-03-09 83.823876 124.508921 194.859235 342.242666 707.496045 1.898750e+03 1.090329e+04
2025-03-16 75.293774 113.810611 182.366809 332.274978 731.110917 2.221010e+03 1.952715e+04
2025-03-23 71.486448 110.590921 182.950758 350.801553 845.454257 3.133041e+03 7.140421e+04
2025-03-30 64.825399 101.415096 170.416959 335.266699 847.559840 3.520353e+03 1.838083e+05
2025-04-06 60.912388 96.750678 166.109139 338.751733 917.825387 4.561555e+03 3.333536e+06
2025-04-13 57.067027 91.760567 160.335344 336.945026 969.564717 5.719712e+03 NaN
2025-04-20 55.509582 90.899009 163.102716 359.057317 1139.022529 9.211252e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 55.233922 92.851590 173.236534 409.346266 1523.999204 2.383881e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 51.501668 87.520609 165.993238 404.470095 1621.935566 3.769195e+04 NaN
2025-05-11 48.849126 84.085270 162.647177 411.503012 1815.072439 8.033452e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 46.324197 80.627078 158.661556 415.115649 2002.284608 2.053122e+05 NaN
2025-05-25 44.292282 77.989465 156.289720 424.015456 2264.413351 1.137247e+06 NaN
2025-06-01 42.342981 75.324160 153.420966 430.221739 2533.771756 2.514362e+08 NaN
2025-06-08 39.835527 71.209047 146.171883 416.529144 2577.428299 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 38.932524 70.554618 148.068159 442.021347 3180.363420 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 36.562557 66.403161 139.847486 420.633264 3104.751398 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 35.212084 64.459861 137.529512 425.420192 3464.021001 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 33.752256 62.148767 133.879597 422.937745 3719.708021 NaN NaN